Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.121893 0.144476 0.169748 0.200076 0.235436 0.275313 0.323644
2024-12-29 0.087759 0.117048 0.153517 0.202056 0.264734 0.342691 0.446729
2025-01-05 0.066380 0.097345 0.139328 0.199957 0.284734 0.398435 0.561729
2025-01-12 0.051574 0.081998 0.126328 0.194881 0.297282 0.443405 0.666208
2025-01-19 0.040941 0.069935 0.114959 0.188885 0.305835 0.481880 0.764420
2025-01-26 0.035162 0.063992 0.111333 0.193237 0.329406 0.544017 0.903874
2025-02-02 0.030344 0.058565 0.107360 0.195927 0.349993 0.603126 1.044668
2025-02-09 0.026176 0.053401 0.102812 0.196608 0.366776 0.657320 1.182847
2025-02-16 0.023051 0.049535 0.099823 0.199339 0.387028 0.718995 1.339701
2025-02-23 0.021020 0.047399 0.099620 0.206981 0.416772 0.799924 1.538181
2025-03-02 0.017842 0.042290 0.092820 0.200860 0.419762 0.832819 1.653306
2025-03-09 0.015769 0.039154 0.089456 0.200975 0.434575 0.888720 1.816220
2025-03-16 0.013645 0.035556 0.084670 0.197690 0.442639 0.933571 1.964887
2025-03-23 0.012427 0.033859 0.083765 0.202602 0.468305 1.015791 2.195721
2025-03-30 0.010942 0.031207 0.080261 0.201196 0.480239 1.071479 2.378859
2025-04-06 0.009459 0.028250 0.075542 0.196251 0.483637 1.109629 2.529438
2025-04-13 0.008139 0.025443 0.070706 0.190252 0.483754 1.140573 2.667594
2025-04-20 0.007495 0.024400 0.070143 0.194642 0.508625 1.228015 2.936818
2025-04-27 0.006847 0.023206 0.068991 0.197353 0.529758 1.309161 3.199856
2025-05-04 0.006191 0.021848 0.067169 0.198039 0.545952 1.380568 3.447625
2025-05-11 0.005683 0.020846 0.066172 0.200789 0.567680 1.467039 3.738425
2025-05-18 0.005386 0.020474 0.066926 0.208483 0.603147 1.589772 4.126156
2025-05-25 0.004699 0.018624 0.062997 0.202320 0.601097 1.620859 4.296545